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Red65
463920.2
285424.4
198218.1
Blue108
97178.4
35340.0
327642.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669605015020065108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#49
24.40.1
21.521.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 18.5
3276
#24
42.91.5
38.840.3
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
Second
4639
#59
20.20.1
23.223.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 19.8
353
#3
40.01.5
37.438.9
Auto12.4
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Third
1982
#58
18.10.1
18.718.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 9.7
9717
#71
8.41.5
7.28.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned