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Red109
704811.7
449938.7
223134.4
Blue111
80569.9
740741.9
494638.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9097050150200109111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#11
38.71.1
38.139.2
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End5.7
blue by 3.2
41.91.5
41.643.0
Auto13.1
Teleop22.6
End6.2
Second
2231
#36
34.41.1
33.434.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End4.1
blue by 4.3
4946
#15
38.71.5
34.936.3
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End5.1
Third
7048
#64
11.71.1
10.912.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End1.9
red by 1.8
8056
#68
9.91.5
10.612.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned82%Ensemble oddsEarned