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Red120
36036.1
461347.4
801133.1
Blue67
271828.2
237325.1
12018.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127765010015020012067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.6
44.645.2
Auto12.7
Teleop32.4
End2.3
red by 19.1
2718
#25
28.20.5
30.129.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Second
360
#10
36.10.6
33.333.8
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.0
red by 11.0
2373
#73
25.10.5
24.924.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Third
8011
#40
33.10.6
31.331.9
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 14.3
120
#70
18.70.5
20.019.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed