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Red80
941828.6
1635.9
805418.2
Blue121
949642.6
316132.8
126143.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811305010015020080121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#41
35.90.1
31.931.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End2.6
blue by 7.2
1261
#29
43.10.4
39.039.4
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End2.0
Second
9418
#45
28.60.1
28.228.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End2.0
blue by 14.0
9496
#23
42.60.4
38.538.8
Auto15.9
Teleop25.3
End1.5
Third
8054
#52
18.20.1
19.018.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End0.6
blue by 14.6
3161
#20
32.80.4
34.134.5
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed