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Red81
207547.1
325626.1
133919.0
Blue57
75898.6
388019.7
656925.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085401502008157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#21
47.11.1
47.346.2
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
red by 21.1
6569
#50
25.90.3
26.426.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Second
3256
#44
26.11.1
29.027.9
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 6.4
3880
#18
19.70.3
20.520.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Third
1339
#61
19.01.1
14.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
red by 10.4
7589
#63
8.60.3
8.17.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed