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Red103
712122.1
235733.7
85732.1
Blue69
23130.2
348921.5
599619.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93785015010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.1
32.233.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3
red by 3.5
231
#14
30.20.2
30.330.1
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End5.3
Second
857
#17
32.11.1
29.030.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End3.7
red by 10.6
3489
#28
21.50.2
22.922.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Third
7121
#48
22.11.1
21.022.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 3.0
5996
#43
19.10.2
19.018.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsEarned