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Red102
420640.1
420.7
663925.6
Blue90
35411.1
902335.4
171432.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9180406010012014010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#27
40.10.1
35.135.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.5
End1.9
red by 4.7
9023
#19
35.41.1
33.334.4
Auto12.1
Teleop21.7
End1.6
Second
6639
#37
25.60.1
23.623.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 6.4
1714
#54
32.01.1
29.430.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Third
4
#26
20.70.1
22.122.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 9.6
354
#67
11.11.1
10.711.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed