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Qual 122024 Arkansas Regional
Red25
65863.8
32314.7
433621.2
Blue48
605512.7
393731.3
21907.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36440204060802548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#18
21.20.9
14.8→13.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 10.1
3937
#2
31.31.0
21.1→22.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Second
323
#13
14.70.9
10.9→9.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 2.0
6055
#22
12.71.0
9.1→10.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
6586
#28
3.80.9
7.9→6.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 3.3
2190
#21
7.21.0
8.7→9.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed