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Qual 112024 Arkansas Regional
Red29
74837.5
804417.9
379216.5
Blue47
410716.7
500210.8
752522.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43432030405060702947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#17
17.91.0
15.3→14.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
blue by 4.3
7525
#3
22.20.7
19.2→19.9
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Second
3792
#6
16.51.0
13.5→12.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 0.2
4107
#20
16.70.7
9.6→10.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
7483
#24
7.51.0
9.3→8.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 3.3
5002
#12
10.80.7
11.5→12.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed