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Qual 102024 Arkansas Regional
Red73
361617.6
310218.1
299222.6
Blue19
234111.4
90732.6
618611.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4835102030406070807319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
22.62.7
17.2→19.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 11.2
2341
#16
11.41.8
12.9→11.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Second
3102
#8
18.12.7
11.2→13.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 6.9
6186
#14
11.11.8
9.4→7.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
3616
#15
17.62.7
13.5→16.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
red by 15.0
9073
#26
2.61.8
11.4→9.5
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed