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Red71
162215.0
906713.9
178124.2
Blue49
393731.3
433621.2
54373.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4548354050556065707149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.2
21.523.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
blue by 7.1
31.30.7
20.521.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Second
15.01.3
8.29.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 6.3
4336
#18
21.20.7
14.114.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Third
9067
#19
13.92.2
11.413.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 10.4
5437
#25
3.50.7
8.38.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed