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Qual 82024 Arkansas Regional
Red60
752522.2
103816.1
32314.7
Blue45
21907.2
804417.9
379216.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4636203040506070806045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7525
#3
22.22.2
17.0→19.2
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 4.3
8044
#17
17.91.3
14.1→15.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
1038
#9
16.12.2
14.5→16.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 0.4
3792
#6
16.51.3
12.2→13.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
323
#13
14.72.2
8.6→10.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 7.5
2190
#21
7.21.3
7.4→8.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed