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Red30
54373.5
178124.2
96084.9
Blue27
90732.6
103816.1
942910.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473502060801001201401603027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.2
23.722.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 8.1
16.11.1
16.715.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Second
9608
#27
4.91.2
8.16.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
blue by 5.1
9429
#23
10.01.1
7.15.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Third
5437
#25
3.51.2
8.97.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
red by 0.9
9073
#26
2.61.1
9.58.4
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed