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Red41
752522.2
74837.5
21907.2
Blue24
410716.7
310218.1
65863.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060801004124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
19.920.3
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 4.1
18.10.8
13.913.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
7483
#24
7.50.3
8.38.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
blue by 9.2
4107
#20
16.70.8
10.39.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
2190
#21
7.20.3
9.710.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
red by 3.3
6586
#28
3.80.8
6.96.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed