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Red47
299222.6
804417.9
605512.7
Blue41
310218.1
1622.9
96084.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754020801001201401604741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
22.60.2
22.923.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 0.3
16
#1
22.91.0
25.124.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
Second
8044
#17
17.90.2
12.813.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
blue by 0.1
18.11.0
17.116.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
6055
#22
12.70.2
7.88.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 7.8
9608
#27
4.91.0
5.64.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed