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Red59
32314.7
162215.0
54373.5
Blue66
393731.3
752522.2
410716.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29660204060801005966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.01.9
14.516.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 16.3
31.30.9
24.625.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Second
323
#13
14.73.2
9.813.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 7.5
22.20.9
20.020.9
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
5437
#25
3.53.2
6.29.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 13.2
4107
#20
16.70.9
10.911.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed