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Red60
618611.1
379216.5
545417.6
Blue55
178124.2
235719.8
21907.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41532060801006055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#10
17.61.0
17.218.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 6.5
24.20.9
21.122.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Second
16.51.0
15.116.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 3.3
19.80.9
16.617.5
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
6186
#14
11.11.0
6.47.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 4.0
2190
#21
7.20.9
9.09.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed