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Qual 282024 Arkansas Regional
Red42
433621.2
234111.4
1622.9
Blue26
74837.5
90732.6
299222.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614220801001204226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
22.91.2
24.1→22.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 0.3
2992
#11
22.61.6
23.1→21.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
4336
#18
21.21.2
18.2→17.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
red by 13.7
7483
#24
7.51.6
9.6→8.0
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Third
2341
#16
11.41.2
10.5→9.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
red by 8.8
9073
#26
2.61.6
7.6→6.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed