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Red67
379216.5
178124.2
32314.7
Blue40
103816.1
162215.0
500210.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495230406070806740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.2
20.721.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 8.1
16.11.1
17.116.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Second
16.51.2
14.015.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 1.5
15.00.7
16.115.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
323
#13
14.71.2
10.912.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 3.9
5002
#12
10.81.1
12.311.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned