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Red25
234111.4
361617.6
65863.8
Blue38
54373.5
1622.9
235719.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27530204060802538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
17.60.3
14.814.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 5.3
16
#1
22.90.7
20.720.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
Second
2341
#16
11.40.3
10.610.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 8.4
19.80.7
17.016.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
6586
#28
3.80.3
2.42.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
red by 0.4
5437
#25
3.50.7
7.36.6
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed