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Red41
942910.0
804417.9
545417.6
Blue10
433621.2
21907.2
90732.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403710203050604110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#17
17.90.5
12.412.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
blue by 3.3
4336
#18
21.22.5
17.915.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
5454
#10
17.60.5
16.216.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 10.5
2190
#21
7.22.5
10.88.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Third
9429
#23
10.00.5
7.78.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
red by 7.4
9073
#26
2.62.5
5.42.9
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed