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Qual 412024 Arkansas Regional
Red38
500210.8
299222.6
234111.4
Blue62
545417.6
605512.7
410716.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454625303540505560653862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
22.60.3
19.4→19.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 4.9
5454
#10
17.61.5
16.7→18.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Second
2341
#16
11.40.3
10.3→10.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 5.3
4107
#20
16.71.5
14.4→15.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
5002
#12
10.80.3
11.2→10.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6055
#22
12.71.5
10.4→11.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed