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Red67
393731.3
942910.0
752522.2
Blue43
618611.1
433621.2
804417.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6536020801001206743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.6
25.125.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 10.1
4336
#18
21.20.7
15.416.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
22.20.6
22.222.8
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 4.3
8044
#17
17.90.7
12.913.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Third
9429
#23
10.00.6
8.28.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 1.1
6186
#14
11.10.7
7.98.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed