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Red63
21907.2
235719.8
103816.1
Blue38
906713.9
96084.9
162215.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47360204060801006338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
17.417.8
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 4.9
15.00.3
15.015.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Second
16.10.4
16.116.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 2.2
9067
#19
13.90.4
13.614.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
2190
#21
7.20.4
7.88.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
red by 2.3
9608
#27
4.90.4
5.05.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed