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Red48
1622.9
545417.6
90732.6
Blue36
310218.1
54373.5
500210.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4542102030506070804836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
22.90.2
19.519.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 4.8
18.11.5
20.919.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
5454
#10
17.60.2
18.218.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 6.8
5002
#12
10.81.5
10.99.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Third
9073
#26
2.60.2
3.03.2
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 0.9
5437
#25
3.51.5
6.55.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned