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Qual 462024 Arkansas Regional
Red34
65863.8
942910.0
379216.5
Blue86
299222.6
234111.4
32314.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28500204060803486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#6
16.50.8
16.9→16.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 6.1
2992
#11
22.62.5
19.1→21.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
9429
#23
10.00.8
8.8→8.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 4.7
323
#13
14.72.5
13.2→15.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
6586
#28
3.80.8
2.2→1.4
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 7.6
2341
#16
11.42.5
10.1→12.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed