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Red54
545417.6
433621.2
605512.7
Blue60
752522.2
618611.1
162215.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5152455055605460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#18
21.20.7
16.116.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 1.0
22.20.7
22.823.6
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Second
5454
#10
17.60.6
18.419.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 2.7
15.00.6
15.315.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
6055
#22
12.70.7
11.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 1.5
6186
#14
11.10.7
8.59.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed