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Red32
21907.2
54373.5
410716.7
Blue62
1622.9
74837.5
103816.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305201020406070803262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4107
#20
16.70.0
16.516.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 6.2
16
#1
22.90.1
19.719.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
Second
2190
#21
7.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 8.9
16.10.1
16.516.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
5437
#25
3.50.0
5.05.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 4.1
7483
#24
7.50.1
7.97.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned