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Red58
65863.8
235719.8
393731.3
Blue33
90732.6
299222.6
906713.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5541020801005833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.2
29.129.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 8.7
2992
#11
22.60.5
21.621.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
19.80.2
17.818.0
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 5.9
9067
#19
13.90.5
14.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
6586
#28
3.80.2
1.41.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
red by 1.2
9073
#26
2.60.5
3.22.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed