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Red27
433621.2
906713.9
310218.1
Blue94
178124.2
1622.9
752522.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060802794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#18
21.21.6
15.714.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 3.0
24.25.3
16.321.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Second
18.11.6
12.811.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 4.8
16
#1
22.95.3
18.623.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
Third
9067
#19
13.91.6
13.011.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 8.3
22.25.3
11.717.0
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed