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Red37
299222.6
410716.7
618611.1
Blue28
96084.9
65863.8
545417.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40340102030506070803728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
22.60.1
17.017.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 4.9
5454
#10
17.60.6
14.413.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Second
4107
#20
16.70.1
9.59.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 11.8
9608
#27
4.90.6
8.88.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Third
6186
#14
11.10.1
9.29.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 7.3
6586
#28
3.80.6
8.57.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed