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Red48
96084.9
393731.3
234111.4
Blue41
942910.0
162215.0
74837.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060801004841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
29.329.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 16.3
15.00.2
15.815.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Second
2341
#16
11.40.0
12.012.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1
red by 1.4
9429
#23
10.00.2
8.68.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Third
9608
#27
4.90.0
4.94.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End1.2
blue by 2.7
7483
#24
7.50.2
7.87.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned