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Red69
804417.9
618611.1
1622.9
Blue58
379216.5
361617.6
752522.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4966204060801006958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
22.91.3
19.620.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 0.7
22.20.0
22.923.0
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Second
8044
#17
17.91.3
17.018.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 0.3
3616
#15
17.60.0
17.317.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
6186
#14
11.11.3
9.811.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.4
blue by 5.4
16.50.0
17.117.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed