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Red20
90732.6
379216.5
162215.0
Blue40
103816.1
605512.7
310218.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3656020801002040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.3
16.916.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 1.6
18.10.2
18.518.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 1.1
16.10.2
16.516.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
9073
#26
2.60.3
2.92.6
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 10.1
6055
#22
12.70.2
13.112.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6