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Red77
1622.9
393731.3
65863.8
Blue66
804417.9
299222.6
410716.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59662040801001207766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.5
30.030.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 8.7
2992
#11
22.60.1
23.023.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
16
#1
22.90.5
21.622.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.8
End1.2
red by 5.0
8044
#17
17.90.1
18.418.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Third
6586
#28
3.80.5
2.53.0
Auto1.3
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 12.9
4107
#20
16.70.1
17.117.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4