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Red59
500210.8
361617.6
906713.9
Blue65
103816.1
605512.7
310218.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553203040506070805965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
17.60.3
17.317.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 0.5
18.10.3
18.218.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
9067
#19
13.90.3
13.613.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 2.2
16.10.3
16.216.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
5002
#12
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6055
#22
12.70.3
12.813.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End2.6