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Red31
178124.2
752522.2
54373.5
Blue50
32314.7
234111.4
545417.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58482040801003150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 6.5
5454
#10
17.60.3
18.017.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Second
22.20.4
22.722.2
Auto11.9
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 7.5
323
#13
14.70.3
15.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
5437
#25
3.50.4
3.93.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 7.9
2341
#16
11.40.3
11.811.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.1