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Red33
50456.7
906720.3
748311.4
Blue44
545420.9
99875.9
99897.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392802060803344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.0
20.920.8
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 0.6
20.91.3
19.420.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Second
7483
#11
11.40.0
8.48.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 3.9
9989
#13
7.62.1
0.93.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
5045
#10
6.70.0
4.24.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 0.8
9987
#14
5.92.1
4.97.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed