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Red53
748311.4
99850.7
545420.9
Blue11
50026.7
65862.8
32327.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27470204060801005311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
20.621.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
blue by 6.1
323
#4
27.02.2
23.821.6
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End1.9
Second
7483
#11
11.40.5
8.38.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 4.7
5002
#12
6.72.2
11.99.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Third
0.70.8
0.31.0
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
blue by 2.1
2.82.2
3.91.8
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed