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Red74
393740.0
99888.7
50456.7
Blue27
99864.9
1628.5
99850.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514302060801001207427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.3
35.636.8
Auto11.1
Teleop24.5
End4.5
red by 11.5
16
#2
28.51.0
32.031.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
8.72.1
5.37.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
red by 3.8
4.91.6
6.54.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
5045
#10
6.71.3
4.25.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 6.1
0.71.6
1.0-0.6
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed