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Red37
906720.3
50026.7
1628.5
Blue7
65862.8
99864.9
99875.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7890204060100120140377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
28.51.6
31.029.4
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 22.6
9987
#14
5.91.1
7.05.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Second
20.31.6
20.819.2
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
red by 15.5
4.91.1
5.64.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
5002
#12
6.71.6
9.78.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
red by 3.9
2.80.7
2.31.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed