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Red56
545420.9
99888.7
32327.0
Blue15
99850.7
99897.6
50456.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63-12040801001205615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#4
27.00.3
21.622.0
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End1.9
red by 19.4
9989
#13
7.60.1
3.83.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Second
20.90.3
21.121.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
red by 14.2
5045
#10
6.70.0
5.55.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
8.70.6
8.18.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
red by 8.0
0.70.1
-0.6-0.6
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned1%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed