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Red84
1628.5
545420.9
393740.0
Blue13
99897.6
50026.7
99864.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138501001502008413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.8
38.837.9
Auto11.1
Teleop24.5
End4.5
red by 32.4
9989
#13
7.61.1
3.72.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Second
16
#2
28.50.8
29.428.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 21.8
5002
#12
6.70.7
8.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Third
20.90.8
21.420.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
red by 16.0
4.91.1
4.53.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed