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Red51
99888.7
50456.7
1628.5
Blue24
748311.4
99875.9
99850.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5290204060801005124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
28.50.3
28.528.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 17.1
7483
#11
11.40.4
9.810.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Second
8.70.5
8.69.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
red by 2.8
9987
#14
5.90.7
5.96.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Third
5045
#10
6.70.3
5.45.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 6.1
0.70.6
0.30.9
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed