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Red53
99850.7
393740.0
99888.7
Blue45
906720.3
545420.9
99875.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801001205345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.2
36.636.8
Auto11.1
Teleop24.5
End4.5
red by 19.1
20.91.0
20.119.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Second
8.70.3
6.16.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 11.6
20.31.0
22.021.0
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Third
0.70.3
7.78.0
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
blue by 5.2
9987
#14
5.91.6
7.66.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed