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Red5
99897.6
50026.7
99850.7
Blue38
65862.8
99864.9
545420.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203706080100538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9989
#13
7.62.9
4.31.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 13.3
20.90.1
19.119.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Second
5002
#12
6.71.7
14.813.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
red by 1.8
4.90.1
7.67.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
0.72.9
8.05.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
blue by 2.1
2.80.1
2.32.2
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed