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Red17
50026.7
50456.7
748311.4
Blue35
99850.7
99864.9
906720.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313501020405060701735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7483
#11
11.40.8
9.28.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 8.9
20.30.2
21.020.8
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Second
5045
#10
6.70.8
5.34.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 1.9
4.90.4
7.57.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
5002
#12
6.70.8
13.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
red by 6.0
0.70.4
5.14.7
Auto2.0
Teleop-2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed