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Red17
99875.9
50456.7
99888.7
Blue60
99864.9
393740.0
50026.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8730204060801001201401760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.70.4
5.75.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 31.3
40.00.4
35.935.6
Auto11.1
Teleop24.5
End4.5
Second
5045
#10
6.70.2
4.44.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 0.1
5002
#12
6.70.4
12.211.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Third
9987
#14
5.90.4
5.24.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End1.3
red by 1.0
4.90.6
7.16.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned