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Red39
650816.6
47297.5
477422.2
Blue58
99868.9
55645.4
461341.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526301001502003958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#15
22.20.6
22.822.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 19.0
41.20.2
44.844.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
6508
#13
16.60.6
20.620.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 7.7
8.90.3
7.98.2
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
7.50.6
4.74.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
red by 2.1
5564
#14
5.40.2
2.93.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed