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Red31
99924.8
533111.4
47394.7
Blue30
651022.9
598511.6
99905.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224501001503130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.40.9
11.110.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 11.5
22.91.0
22.421.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
9992
#17
4.81.4
7.66.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 6.8
5985
#11
11.61.0
11.910.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
4739
#18
4.70.9
5.34.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 0.3
9990
#23
5.01.6
5.33.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed